Consulting on International Energy Geopolitics and Political Risk on Russia, Eurasia and the Middle East
Tuesday, March 18, 2014
Crimea, Catalonya, Scotland, Venice and the contagion of separatism in the EU. Whos behind this?
Thursday, March 13, 2014
Defining Political Risks matters more than ever today
Saturday, March 1, 2014
Venezuela is not Ukraine
Regarding political unrest and protests happening simultaneously in Ukraine and Venezuela, western media has insistently and repitedly tried to put in the same box both situations like if circumstances were the same culturally politically and most important ethnically speaking in both countries trying to promote coup d'etats as well in Venezuela like the one that happened in Ukraine. Situation in Venezuela is different, the government still has grip on different key power elements like the state oil company, the military and a very important base support on the middle and lower classes, since protests by students are very well located specifically in upper classes areas located at 5 or 6 states of the country not the whole country. Even though the specter of separatism in Venezuela is latent being Tachira state (southern border state with Colombia) a very precious prize for foreign powers to destabilize President Maduro's government, it is not as much present as in Ukraine with Crimea about to be invaded by Russia military. And speaking of ethnicity, in Venezuela there aint no religious nor ethnic clashes like the one in Ukraine with ukrainians versus russians. So the global media is trying and rehearsing to see if the ukraine scenario could be repeated in Venezuela, but that seems very unlikely at least for the moment, even though for the US both these countries are very valuable geopolitically and geostrategically speaking.