Monday, June 17, 2013

whats next for lebanon? oil wealth or balkan style future again?

Now that lebanon was poised to discover considerable amounts of oil fields and reserves specifically gas and having many ioc's participating in licensing processes with caretaker government (well its a shame lebanon can have every once in a while a functioning and lasting government) just as that brilliant moment was beginning, syrian affairs meddle again into lebanese future a big one though as it seems, and all that because the hezbollah decided to kinda take justice for its own and protect bashar government against the opposition (lets face it syrian internal affairs have nothing to do with lebanese internal dynamics but disgracefully always has to be in the middle of the iran usa syria and israel struggle for power of influence) and once again sectarianism of shia sunni threatens to destabilize the traditional quietness of lebanese society dreaming of a brilliant future now it knows has enough oil and gas reserves but i hope syrian instability wont overshadow lebanon growing presence in the energy international scene.. so what should we expect for the lebanese people a brilliant oiled future or a once again balkanized-bantustanized country which can only have "caretakers" as formal authorities to lead lebanon toward a better future...

Saturday, June 8, 2013

a turkish spring?

The recent protests at taksim square in istambul against prime minister tayyip erdogan by an ever growing number of angered people showing discontent with erdogans allegedly authoritarian turn in his government show that besides all the strength that turkey has displayed and waved all through the middle east and the world as a heavyweight it could be at the very beggining of its own version of an arab or "turkish style" spring with very damaging consecuences for the poweplays in the region and more important for the role and position that will have turkey in the washington strategy for the shaking middle east which has no foreseeable and clear view of whats going to happen when situations like in syria (with its spoiling skirmishes in many zones in lebanon) dont have a clear end for the benefit of the white house and what happens now in turkey could be interesting to see how it will be covered by the world western leaned media, plus how will be the stance towards this situation by regional powers like saudi arabia, qatar, iran, russia, israel and how will this affect all the autonomy that mr erdogan seemed to achieve for turkey in the eurasian geopolitical spectrum and one imperative question is if these protests are really provoked from overseas elements i.e washington, iran, moscow and plus which could be the implications for the ongoing syrian showdown and in general the new geopolitical puzzle thats still shaping up the new middle east all i can say is this an interesting turn of events in turkey..

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