Saturday, November 29, 2014

Moldova's Presidential Elections, Energy and Geopolitics

Tomorrow there will be another battle in the quest for Eurasia's geostrategic chessboard supremacy, and this time is up to the tiny Moldova to decide which side will take, either it goes for the European Union or with the Russian Federation, and where it seems likely and probable that the pro european political forces are taking the victory, though nothing is certain. No more important geopolitically speaking than Ukraine or Georgia for Brussels or Moscow ambitions, and with a small population and being one of the least blessed economically country in the european continent, there is one hotspot to be decided as well in the medium term such as the breakaway republic of Transdniestria which is supported by Russia, just like the cases of Abkhazia, South Ossetia in Georgia and whats happening now in the Donetsk and Lugansk russian speaking breakaway republics of Ukraine backed by the Kremlin. So this can be a bargaining chip for Mr Putin if the results of this upcoming election turns to Brussels instead of blinking an eye to Moscow. Also Moldova depends highly on gas supplies coming from Russia putting it in a much more compromised position in its relationship either with Brussels or with Moscow. So tomorrow again energy will play a key role in the outcome of this elections, whichever they will be, having Russia under strong pressure on both sides on Western backed progressive sanctions and depressed oil prices hurting russian economy, and undeniably with a weaker position to negotiate now in the eurasian geopolitical chess, and if it Moldova decides to follow the same path of its neighbor Ukraine, the final word will be for the Kremlin. 


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