Tuesday, February 3, 2015

The Shi´a Nightmare for King Salman of Saudi Arabia


Never in the House of al Saud history and tradition things have looked worse than with the ascension to power of King Salman, and having to live the shi´a nightmare in a daydream. The Houthis in Yemen are claiming gradually more power than ever before, and now wanting a greater role in the army, that is to control weapons and the use of force, as well as controlling strategic sectors of power in this now uncomfortable saudi neighbor to the south. And they look to Iran as an religio-ideological inspiration and source of financial backing. Yeme might not have oil but it wields an enormous geostrategic importance as a transit chokepoint for massive oil and gas flows, and no coincidence is the almost monthly basis blowing and attacks on the Marib pipeline which carries oil to the Red Sea, with a capacity of 200.000 barrels a day by insurgents of the AQAP Yemen chapter, highlighting the geostrategic importance of Yemen for the region. And of course for saudi monarchy. Also, the King Salman will have to deal with the restless shiite minority of the eastern province within saudi soil and which holds the most prominent oil fields throughout the whole country, and who have been holding continuous protests demanding more civil and political rights and freedoms to the House Al Saud, though still small, they are a pretty much a blinking sign that Iran could play a bigger role in this issue against King Salman, given the shia religious inspiration of this minority. And if to this we add the oil role, and the fact this minority settles and dwells on a location full of oil and gas facilites, the landscape turns even darker for the new saudi king. And this arc of instability closes in the shia majority populated Bahrein, where even if massive protests by shias in the wake of the so called arab spring at Pearl Square have been shut, since Bahrein is a very close ally of Saudi monarchy and home to the 5th Fleet of the United States Navy, it doesnt mean this tiny island couldnt become again a breaking point that could ignite the so not wanted turmoil in the very close neighborhood of Saudi´s King Salman, which if with a strong impact, it can garner and give Iran a deep and strategic victory against Saudi Arabia, within this growing and harmfull sunni-shia divide thats crushing the entire arab-islamic world, only for the sake of not so well intentioned leaders of gaining more power and influence. So this can be the entire shi´a nightmare for King Salman of Saudi Arabia, without of course discarding the Hezbollah in Lebanon and the situation of the shiias in Iraq with a strong weight in political decision making in the country. So should we call in the long term this region shiitestan or sunnistan?

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