Sunday, February 15, 2015

Ukraine, Greece, Spain and the future of the European Union


Undoubtedly what the outcomes will be out of the recent negotiations in Minks on Ukraine, Greece out of the eurozone eventually, and the almost certain victory of leftist PODEMOS in Spain is a accurate thermometer of the situation in the European Union just about right now. Brussels is shaking and looking astonished how fragmentation is whats abounding, the left is gaining momentum, and a funny thing is how Greece, almost on the brink of a financial collapse and a laboratory for strange experiments by the IMF, the EU technocrats and the World Bank, now threatens to unleash a domino effect in the Schengen zone, and pointing overtly or not to the Kremlin as its potential partner on financial and geopolitical terms. And also the situation in Ukraine is showing what the EU cannot do because of its inner contradictions and dychotomy of postures vis a vis Washington. Love and hate relationship between Brussels and the White House to say the least. 




And the main reason for this is energy and gas supplies, where after many thought that Russia had its influence waned in terms of gas might in the EU, it turned out it hadnt at all and it has a lot of margin of maneuver, if not, ask the Chinese and the Turks about this. So the certain future of the European Union will be at least of many Europes centered on a pivot country alligned either with Russia or with the United States. Actually, one can see and observe at least 2 to 3 geopolitical europes. No unified Europe at all now, and aside of all this, Germany and France want to play alongside the Russians, out of any question. One hint: energy. No other reliable gas supplies as the ones from russian soil, not from Algeria, not from almost depleted fields from Norway, UK on the North Sea, not even from Libya war torn fields, so they will have to live, whether they want it or not, with Russia as their partner. So the future of Europe will heavily rely on what happens next in Ukraine, Greece and Spain, but also in Eastern Europe and the Baltic States. This is just the beginning of the end of the European Union as we know it. 

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